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Обложка Емельянов С.В. Труды ИСА РАН: Инвестиционный анализ: общие проблемы. Оценка эффективности инвестиционных проектов. Оценка эффективности производственных и инфраструктурных подсистем. Моделирование характеристик деятельности отраслевых и региональных подсистем
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Труды ИСА РАН: Инвестиционный анализ: общие проблемы. Оценка эффективности инвестиционных проектов. Оценка эффективности производственных и инфраструктурных подсистем. Моделирование характеристик деятельности отраслевых и региональных подсистем. Т.63. Вып.1

URSS. 2013. 136 с. Мягкая обложка. ISBN 978-5-396-00510-5.

 Содержание

Инвестиционный анализ: общие проблемы
 Бизнес-план и инвестиционный проект
  Н. А. Колесникова, В. Н. Лившиц, Е. Р. Орлова
 К вопросу о долговечности проектов и формировании жизнеспособных систем
  И. Н. Зимин
 Анализ решений типа "бегущий импульс" сложной формы в распределенной экономической среде, описываемой моделью ФитцХью--Нагумо
  А.Г.Максимов
 Экологический и социальный анализ инвестиционных проектов в условиях устойчивого развития экономики
  Е. В. Сезина
Оценка эффективности инвестиционных проектов
 Учет фактора времени при оценке эффективности крупномасштабных инвестиционных проектов
  К.Н. Дмитриев
 Учет влияния инфляции на эффективность многовалютных инвестиционных проектов
  Н.А. Дмитриева
 Основные подходы к определению социальной ставки дисконта при оценке эффективности капиталообразующих инвестиций
  А.К. Самошков
Оценка эффективности производственных и инфраструктурных подсистем
 Оценка эффективности деятельности производственных систем: формирование технологических детерминант с использованием техники DEA
  Д.В. Бочкарев
 Банк развития: оценка эффективности кредитно-инвестиционной деятельности
  И.А. Никонова
 К вопросу об актуальности разработки поведенческой концепции стоимости благ и финансовых активов
  С. В. Фёдоров, Я. В. Шокин, Н. А. Колесникова
Моделирование характеристик деятельности отраслевых и региональных подсистем
 Экономико-математические модели диагностикиперегруженности транспортной сети
  С. Н. Гук
 Бенчмаркинг при регулировании тарифов электросетевых компаний
  И. И. Дробыш
 Инструментальные методы оценки влияния вуза на экономическое развитие региона на основе теории инвестирования
  Ю.В. Лугом
 О необходимости применения моделей электроэнергетических систем при оценке эффективности инвестиций в развитие электростанций
  С.Е.Малинов
 Систематизация показателей для анализа системы «Университет -- Наукоград -- Регион
  Е.Н.Солодова
Abstracts

 Abstracts

Investment Analysis -- Global Problems
 Business-plan and Investment Project
  N. A. Kolesnikova, V. N. Livchits, E. R. Orlova

Abstract. The article is devoted to description of the questions connected with evaluating interrelation between investment project and business-plan, as well as to regarding the most significant mistakes that emerge under substantiating the expediency of investment project realization in terms of non-stationary economy. The main attention is given to analysis of methodical, methodological and operational mistakes.

Key words: investment project, business-plan, non-stationary economy.

 On the problem of durability and sustainability of projects and design of viable systems
  I. N. Zimin

Abstract. The main project analysis theme to which we will concern in this paper is related to questions of correct account of total costs and benefits in implementation of complex projects. In planning complex systems development issues of longevity and sustainability are usually given much less attention than to other aspects of project analysis. The result of this is incomplete account of total project costs and benefits and, the outcome is incorrect evaluation economic efficiency of the project, which could be actually reached in comparison with expected ex-ante evaluation. To avoid these drawbacks, it is proposed to consider alternative to traditional approach, based on St. Beer concept for analysis and implementation of adaptive viable systems and objects The paper discusses questions of modeling techniques development and examples of their applications to complex systems design, analysis and evaluation.

Keywords: project analysis and management, longevity, sustainability, viability, project effectiveness / efficiency, viable system model (VSM), program planning, complexity, variety, the law of requisite variety, organizational structure, goals, objectives, tasks, activities, attributes, specifications, logical framework matrix (LogFrame), recursion, hierarchy, function -- policy, function -- intelligence, function -- control, function -- coordination, function -- implementation, multilogue, modeling.

 Analysis of the travelling pulse solutions of complex profile in distributed economic medium described by the FitzHugh-Nagumo model
  A. G. Maksimov

Abstract. A distributed medium simulated FHN system describing the dynamics of objects of different nature -- physical, chemical, biological, social, economic is considered. The analytical proof of the existence of solutions in the form of a travelling pulses of a complex profile is given. Such solutions can be used to describe a wide range of phenomena -- from distribution of information, formation of shocks (such as vibration in the Earth's crust or the prices of financial assets, etc.) to the dynamics of socio-economic processes.

Keywords: distributed economic medium, travelling pulse solutions of complex profile, the FHN system, economic shocks, homoclinic trajectory.

 Environmental and social analysis of investment projects in the context of sustainable economic development.
  E. V. Sezina

Abstract. Analysis of the sustainability of economic development is becoming more and more important in today's world. At that time we should not forget about the natural and social factors, which are so important in conditions of economics of knowledge and high technology. The article deals with the tools to assess socially significant investment projects in the sustainable economic development of the country.

Keywords: Economic growth, sustainable development of the economy, innovation economy, evaluation of investment projects.

Investment Projects Efficiency Assessment
 Time factor in evaluation of the efficiency of large-scale investment projects
  K. N. Dmitriev

Abstract. The article discusses the principal approaches of the taking into account time factor in evaluation the effectiveness of large-scale projects, recognized and validated in the academic and expert circles. The author has analyzed economic categories and concepts underlying in the basis of the methods, their strong and weak aspects, with both theoretical and practical points of view. A comparison of the calculated values ​​of the social discount rate resulting from the use of the described methods is implemented. A methodical and practical advice is proposed and a range of values of the social discount rate for modern Russia is presented as well.

Keywords: non-local projects, social efficiency of investment projects, the social discount rate, intertemporal preferences, alternative cost of investment.

 Inflation impact on efficiency of multicurrency investment projects
  N. A. Dmitrieva

Abstract. The article is devoted to analysis of inflation impact on efficiency of multicurrency investment projects. Long-term, middle-term and short-term character of inflation impact are considered.

Keywords: NPV, multicurrency investment project, monetary inflation, inhomogeneous inflation, investment project efficiency.

 The main approaches to the definition of the social discount rate when evaluating the effect of real investment
  A. K. Samoshkov

Abstract. The article dwells upon the main approaches and methods of defining social profitable rate -- the key indicator applied to estimating the efficiency of real investments for stationary (administrative-planning and market-economy) and non-stationary economic systems.

Keywords: social profitable rate, time factor, non-stationarity, real investments, modeling, experiment.

Production and Infrastructure Subsystems Efficiency Assessment
 The Productivity Assessment: applying DEA-methodology for technological determinants modeling
  D. V. Bochkarev

Abstract. The article considers the ability of applying DEA method for non-parametrical modeling of multiproduct cost-functions. It describes the measuring of technological determinants as the production efficiency assessments. Also, this article shows the results of efficiency measurements for Russian railroads at the early period of its reformation.

Key words: Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA), productivity assessment, technological determinants, multiproduct cost-function.

 Bank for development: efficiency evaluation of loan-investment activity
  I. A. Nikonova

Abstract. In the article the main principles of complex evaluating social and economic efficiency of credit and investment activities of the national banks of development are formulated; a system of indices of economic, budget, ecological and social efficiency of their activities, that reflect bank’s of development influencing the national economy is proposed; as well as their using in the system of the banks of development strategic management.

Key words: national key indicators, system of strategic management, budgeting, national, social, regional and budget efficiency.

 Towards the actuality of developing the behavioral concept for value of goods and financial assets
  S. V. Fedorov, I. V. Shokin, N. A. Kolesnikova

Abstract. This article is dedicated to the main problems that appear in developing the behavioral concept for value of goods and financial assets, which allows to apply a quantity analysis of the influence non-monetary factors have on market-players decision-making in investing and managing activities.

Key words: value, ecosystem, prospect theory, «homo economicus» paradigm, experimental economics, behavioral economics, behavioral finance, behavioral euristics, investment activity, uncertainty, financial assets.

Modeling Characteristics Sectoral and Regional Subsystems Activity
 Economic and Mathematic Diagnostic Models of Transport Network Congested Operation
  S. N. Gook

Abstract. The paper considers methods of efficiency assessments for transport networks operation as natural monopolies in terms of growth in demand. The base of congestion diagnostic models is a concept of network-wide aggregated costs function subadditivity as a characteristic of organizing and exchange of correspondences on the shortest (in terms of minimal costs) routes, as determined in a nonlinear optimization of flow assignment.

The results of computer modeling corresponding technological determinants -- economies of scale and scope by parametric (econometric) and non-parametric method for a particular road network in the region are compared. It is shown, that for networks operating under growing demand for transportations, models of analysis of natural monopoly network properties can be used as a useful tool in selecting scenarios for networks design and, including, the proposed models of economic assessments of the network transport subsystems, specially targeted on taking into account the factor of networks congestion.

Key words: methods of efficiency assessments for transport networks, concept of subadditivity, the network transport subsystems.

 Benchmarking in tariff regulation of electricity distribution companies
  I. I. Drobysh

Abstract. The international practice of benchmarking is analyzed. Different benchmarking model and problems of model specification are considered, advantages and disadvantages of applied model are indentified.

Key words: electricity distribution company, incentive regulation, X-efficiency, benchmarking.

 Instrumental methods of the university influience on the economic region development on the basis of the investment theory
  Y. V. Lugom

Abstract In the work presented a methodical approach to assessing the impact of the University on the socio-economic development of the region based on the principle of comparison with the investment project "and" without project "using the methods of applied statistics and Econometrics. The research on the example of "Dubna" University of Moscow region.

Keywords: methodical approach, investment, cash flow, financial-economic mechanism, the socio-economic development, performance evaluation, net present value.

 On application of power systems models to estimate efficiency of power generation investment
  S. E. Malinov

Abstract. The article states the importance of mathematical models of electric power systems for efficiency estimation of generation investment in the competitive electricity market environment Requirements for mathematical models of electric power systems as well as possible problems of their implementation to evaluate investment project efficiency are discussed in the article.

Keywords: investment, estimation of efficiency, electricity industry, choice of generating technologies, mathematical models of electric power systems.

 Systematization of indicators for the analysis of the "University -- Science City -- Region"
  E. N. Solodova

Abstract. Systematization of indicators for the analysis the "University -- Science city -- Region" depending on studied object level is presented. Development problems of the science city and the region are formulated. The technique of selection of the indicators characterizing each object is offered. The regional and municipal problems are considered.

Keywords: university, scientific city, region, educational effect, social effect, production effect, scientific effect, integrated effect.

 
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