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Оглавление
 Series Preface Preface PART I. ANTICIPATING THE UNEXPECTED AS A FOCUS OF PUBLIC POLICY 1. Natural Hazards as Public Policy Problems Introduction Natural Hazards as Candidate Problems Characteristics of the Public Policy System Overview of Policy Assisting Study Approaches An Integrative Model Conclusion References 2. Natural Hazards Characteristics and Mitigations Earthquake Landslides Expansive Soil Riverine Flooding Storm Surge Tsunami Tornado Hurricane Severe Wind Mitigation Strategies
Mitigation Strategies in Developing Countries References
3. Public Policy Approaches to Management of Natural Hazards
The Matrix of Policy Authority
Types of Hazard-Related Public Policies
U.S. Federal Natural Hazard Policies and Programs
State Land Use Policies
State Coastal Zone Regulations
Building Code Policy and Authority
International Differences in Public Policies toward Natural
Hazards Conclusion References
PART П. NATURAL HAZARDS RISK ASSESSMENT AND MITIGATION ANALYSIS
4. Methodologies for Hazard Analysis
Introduction
Risk Analysis of Natural Hazards
Hazard — Exposure—Vulnerability Estimation
Cost Analysis Methods
Mitigation Cost Estimates
Cost Feasibility Analysis
Analysis of Social Impacts
Conclusion
References
5. Natural Hazard Exposure and Loss Analysis
Introduction
Natural Hazard Effects
Natural Hazard Loss Analysis (1970-2000)
Referent Effects and Problems
Cost Escalations in Catastrophic Losses
Federal Liability for Natural Hazard Losses
Interstate Tax Transfers Produced by Federal Liability for
Natural Hazard Losses Interstate Tax Transfers Produced by Other Federal Policies
Conclusion References
6. Natural Hazard Mitigation Costs and Impacts
Introduction
Estimate of Losses for Year 2000 Alternative Mitigation Strategies Loss Reduction Analysis Cost Analysis
Economic Payoffs from Major Mitigation Groups Social Payoffs from Major Mitigation Groups Conclusion References
7. Catastrophic Natural Hazard Occurrences
Introduction
Approach to Scenario Development Camille II
San Francisco Earthquake II Other Scenarios References
PART III. NATURAL HAZARDS POLICY PLANNING AND ADMINISTRATION
8. Policy Makers, Stakeholders, and Candidate Public Problems
The Plight of the Policy Maker
Stakeholders in Natural Hazard Policy
Candidate Public Problems
Establishing Priorities
Federal Role
Conclusion
References
9. Constraints on Public Hazards Management Policy Making
Introduction Legal Constraints Sociopolitical Constraints Value Constraints Administrative Constraints Economic Constraints
Federal Constraints on State and Local Decision Making
Conclusion
References
10. Public Policy Alternatives
The Policy Options The Policy Plan
Action Possibilities for the Federal Government
Action Possibilities for State Governments
Action Possibilities for Local Units of Government
Action Possibilities for Private Entities
The Problem of Future Policy Making
References
Index
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